Friday, July 10, 2015

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the bull side at SPX 2075 after the opening bell this morning. Retail stocks shot higher, ditto financials, although the banks are battling at the critical XLF 24.62 level. The pivot from this level on Monday will dictate broad market direction. Retail stocks and the NYA Index will also be important on Monday. Levels can be identified after the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints.

It took the whole first half of the year, but the actual trading finally turns positive for 2015. The benchmark SPX Index is up less than one percent this year. The year began at SPX 2059 and price is only 18 points above at 2077. Markets remain choppy sideways all year long. The Keybot algorithm program is up +2.2% this year and the actual trading is up +2.4% gaining +2.6% on the last trade. Keybot exits SDS and enters SSO.

The stock market is a coin flip with the Greece saga pushing equities to and fro. A whipsaw back to the short side early next week would not be surprising. For now, the bulls are in control. The algo number is 24 points above the signal line.

7/12/15; 7:00 PM EST =
7/10/15; 2:20 PM EST = -6; signal line is -30
7/10/15; 12:36 PM EST = -22; signal line is -30
7/10/15; 11:47 AM EST = -6; signal line is -30
7/10/15; 10:01 AM EST = -22; signal line is -29
7/10/15; 9:36 AM EST = -6; signal line is -29; go long 2075; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = +0.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.5%; Keybot algo for 2015 = +2.2%)(Actual results this trade = +2.6%; Actual results for 2015 = +2.4%)
7/9/15; 12:06 PM EST = -38; signal line is -28
7/9/15; 10:57 AM EST = -22; signal line is -26 but algorithm remains short
7/9/15; 10:25 AM EST = -38; signal line is -24
7/9/15; 9:36 AM EST = -22; signal line is -22 but algorithm remains short
7/8/15; 3:58 PM EST = -52; signal line is -21
7/8/15; 3:12 PM EST = -38; signal line is -19
7/8/15; 2:54 PM EST = -52; signal line is -16
7/8/15; 10:02 AM EST = -38; signal line is -13
7/7/15; 2:45 PM EST = -22; signal line is -10
7/7/15; 11:47 AM EST = -38; signal line is -9
7/7/15; 10:42 AM EST = -52; signal line is -7
7/6/15; 9:36 AM EST = -38; signal line is -4
7/5/15; 7:00 PM EST = -22; signal line is -1
7/2/15; 3:51 PM EST = -22; signal line is +1
7/2/15; 3:42 PM EST = -38; signal line is +3
7/2/15; 3:28 PM EST = -22; signal line is +4
7/2/15; 12:22 PM EST = -38; signal line is +5
7/2/15; 9:00 AM EST = -22; signal line is +6
7/1/15; 9:36 AM EST = -22; signal line is +6
6/30/15; 7:00 PM EST; EOM; EOQ2; EOH1 = -24; signal line is +7
6/30/15; 2:02 PM EST = -24; signal line is +8
6/30/15; 10:00 AM EST = -38; signal line is +9
6/29/15; 11:07 AM EST = -41; signal line is +10
6/29/15; 10:22 AM EST = -27; signal line is +11
6/29/15; 9:36 AM EST = -11; signal line is +12
6/28/15; 7:00 PM EST = +5; signal line is +12
6/26/15; 10:00 AM EST = +5; signal line is +12
6/25/15; 3:44 PM EST = +3; signal line is +12
6/25/15; 3:41 PM EST = +17; signal line is +13 but algorithm remains short
6/25/15; 3:11 PM EST = +33; signal line is +12 but algorithm remains short
6/25/15; 3:10 PM EST = +17; signal line is +12 but algorithm remains short
6/25/15; 2:18 PM EST = +3; signal line is +12; go short 2106; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = +2.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.6%; Keybot algo for 2015 = +0.7%)(Actual results this trade = +1.1%; Actual results for 2015 = -0.2%)

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