Saturday, June 27, 2015

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is on the short side through the weekend. The model flipped short at SPX 2106 on Thursday as the sideways choppy price action continues this year. Markets remain a coin-flip and subject to the Greece bailout negotiations. The PBOC (China's central bank) cut rates today which will pump stocks higher on Monday. Volatility, commodities and retail stocks are key for next week. The areas and levels of interest can be identified once the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints tomorrow.

On the last trade, the algorithm program gains +0.6% and the actual trading gains +1.1%. Keybot exits SSO and enters SDS. The benchmark SPX is up a couple percent this year. The algo program and actual trading metrics are flat on the year. Stocks can go either way on Monday; flip a coin.

6/28/15; 7:00 PM EST =
6/26/15; 10:00 AM EST = +5; signal line is +12
6/25/15; 3:44 PM EST = +3; signal line is +12
6/25/15; 3:41 PM EST = +17; signal line is +13 but algorithm remains short
6/25/15; 3:11 PM EST = +33; signal line is +12 but algorithm remains short
6/25/15; 3:10 PM EST = +17; signal line is +12 but algorithm remains short
6/25/15; 2:18 PM EST = +3; signal line is +12; go short 2106; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = +2.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.6%; Keybot algo for 2015 = +0.7%)(Actual results this trade = +1.1%; Actual results for 2015 = -0.2%)
6/25/15; 2:06 PM EST = +17; signal line is +12
6/24/15; 10:50 AM EST = +33; signal line is +13
6/24/15; 10:16 AM EST = +47; signal line is +12
6/22/15; 9:36 AM EST = +33; signal line is +9
6/21/15; 7:00 PM EST = +19; signal line is +8
6/19/15; 3:59 PM EST = +19; signal line is +7
6/19/15; 3:52 PM EST = +33; signal line is +6
6/18/15; 9:50 AM EST = +49; signal line is +4
6/18/15; 9:37 AM EST = +33; signal line is +3
6/18/15; 9:36 AM EST = +19; signal line is +2
6/17/15; 2:38 PM EST = +3; signal line is +2
6/17/15; 2:26 PM EST = -13; signal line is +2 but algorithm remains long
6/17/15; 2:08 PM EST = +3; signal line is +3 but algorithm remains long
6/17/15; 12:12 PM EST = -13; signal line is +3 but algorithm remains long
6/17/15; 11:59 AM EST = +3; signal line is +3 but algorithm remains long
6/17/15; 11:36 AM EST = -13; signal line is +3 but algorithm remains long
6/16/15; 1:20 PM EST = +3; signal line is +4 but algorithm remains long
6/16/15; 9:00 AM EST = -13; signal line is +4 but algorithm remains long
6/15/15; 9:36 AM EST = -13; signal line is +5 but algorithm remains long
6/14/15; 7:00 PM EST = +1; signal line is +6 but algorithm remains long
6/12/15; 2:11 PM EST = +1; signal line is +6 but algorithm remains long
6/12/15; 1:37 PM EST = +17; signal line is +7
6/12/15; 11:49 AM EST = +1; signal line is +7 but algorithm remains long
6/12/15; 11:31 AM EST = +17; signal line is +8
6/12/15; 10:40 AM EST = +1; signal line is +7 but algorithm remains long
6/12/15; 10:00 AM EST = +14; signal line is +8
6/12/15; 9:36 AM EST = +14; signal line is +8
6/10/15; 9:47 AM EST = +28; signal line is +9; go long 2094; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = +1.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.2%; Keybot algo for 2015 = +0.1%)(Actual results this trade = +2.2%; Actual results for 2015 = -1.3%)

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